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LESSON 2.5  •   Normal Distributions: Finding Areas from Values  133

                     Figure 2.16(b) shows the standard normal distribution with the area to the right


                 of   z = 1.39   shaded. Again, notice that the shaded areas in the two graphs are the
                 same.


                                                                                                    TEACHING TIP             Lesson 2.5

                                                                                            Some students will prefer using a table
                                                                                            of standard normal probabilities/areas
                  2.19  3.74  5.29  6.84  8.39 9  9.94  11.49  –3  –2  –1  0  1  1.39 2  3  (like Table A) to using technology. In
                 (a)     ITBS vocabulary score  (b)      z-score
                                                                                            our experience, they tend to be in the
                           (C) 2021 BFW Publishers -- for review purposes only.
                 FIGURE   2.16     (a) Normal distribution estimating the proportion of Gary, Indiana, seventh-graders   minority, but they love their tables! Expect
                 who earn ITBS vocabulary scores at the 9th-grade level or higher. (b) The corresponding area in the   to have a few of these students in each
                 standard normal distribution.
                                                                                            class and prepare for class activities
                                                                                            accordingly.
                             To find the area to the right of   =  1.39  locate 1.3 in the left-hand column of       z     .07    .08    .09

                                            ,

                                       z
                     ,
                   Table A  then locate the remaining digit 9 as .09 in the top row. The entry to the right     1.2    .8980   .8997   .9015
                 of 1.3 and under .09 is .9177. However, this is the area  to the left   of    1.39=z      . We can
                 use the fact that the total area in the standard normal distribution is 1 to find that     1.3    .9147   .9162   .9177   AL TERNA TE  EX AMPLE
                                                 .
                                     1

                 the area  to the right   of    1.39=z       is   − 0.9177  = 0.0823  We estimate that about  8.23%    1.4    .9292   .9306   .9319


                 of Gary, Indiana, seventh-graders earn scores at the ninth-grade level or above on the   The greatest on grass?
                 ITBS vocabulary test.
                                                                         !
                         A common student mistake is to look up a  z -score in  Table A and report the entry   caution  Finding area to the right in a normal
                                                                        aution

                 corresponding to that  z -score, regardless of whether the problem asks for the area to
                 the left or to the right of that  z -score. This mistake can usually be prevented by follow-  distribution
                 ing the two-step process, which includes drawing a normal distribution and shading   PROBLEM:  In 2017, Roger Federer won
                 the area of interest. Look at the sketch to see if the area should be closer to 0 or closer

                 to 1. In the previous scenario, for instance, it should be obvious that 0.9177 is  not the   the Wimbledon Championship—one of
                 area of the shaded region.                                                 the most prestigious tournaments in all
                                                                                            of tennis. Wimbledon is played on grass
                                                                                            courts—one of 4 basic types of tennis
                    EXAMPLE                                                                 surfaces. This was a record-setting
                                                                                            eighth Wimbledon victory for Federer,
                        Can Rory clear the trees?                                           and he also became the oldest man
                        Finding area to the right in a normal distribution                  to win the Wimbledon Championship.
                                                                                            During this tournament, Federer’s first
                               PROBLEM:       When professional golfer Rory McIlroy hits
                      his driver, the distance the ball travels can be modeled by           serve speeds averaged 115 mph. Assume
                      a normal distribution with mean 304 yards and standard       Maddie Meyer/Getty Images  that the distribution of first serve speeds
                      deviation 8 yards. On a specific hole, Rory would need to             is approximately normal with a standard
                      hit the ball at least 290 yards to have a clear second shot
                      that avoids a large group of trees. What percent of Rory’s            deviation of 4 mph. About what percent
                      drives travel at least 290 yards? Is he likely to have a clear        of Federer’s first serves were at least
                      second shot?
                                                                                            125 mph? Show your work.
                                                                                            SOLUTION:
                                                                                                               Area = 0.0062
        03_StarnesSPA4e_24432_ch02_088_153.indd   133                             07/09/20   1:57 PM
                                                                                                 103 107 111 115 119 123 127
                                                                                                                 125
                                                                                                   First serve speed (mph)
                                                                                                      125 −115
                                                                                                   z =       = 2.50
                                                                                                         4
                                                                                             (i) Using Table A: Area for
                                                                                                  =
                                                                                            z > 2.500.0062
                                                                                            Using technology:
                                                                                            Applet/normalcdf(lower:2.50,
                                                                                                               =
                                                                                           upper:1000,mean: 0,SD:1)0.0062
                                                                                            (ii) Applet/normalcdf(lower:125,
                                                                                           upper:1000,mean:115,SD: 4) 0.0062
                                                                                                                 =
                                                                                            About 0.62% of Federer’s first serves
                                                                                            were faster than 125 mph.
                                                LESSON 2.5   •  Normal Distributions: Finding Areas from Values       133





          03_TysonTEspa4e_25177_ch02_088_153_4pp.indd   133                                                            10/11/20   7:47 PM
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